Oil - How low can it go?

The falling price of oil is the concern for many Calgarians.  How is this affecting Calgarys real estate?  Will home price's plummet or will they go up?  Is this temporary or is it permanent? What are the long term affects?

Calgary's real estate market can be compared to running.  To begin you can go at a fast pace and you might think you can go forever - 'this is nothing'....

Eventually your legs get tired, your heart is pounding hard and you're sweating profusely.  You have to slow down, take a breath and regroup and then can increase the pace again.  The cycle can continue over and over.  

Calgary's real estate market is just like that - cyclical.

Sometimes its hot like last year where Calgary had an 8% gain in real estate prices - and generally continued to grow year over year since 2009. Buyers should be prepared for changes in Calgary real estate market both financially and emotionally.

See Historical housing prices - Graph.  



Sometimes the market is not so hot and becomes slower paced market like our current market.  Layoffs are ubiquitous, employment rate increases and fear is very real to some.

 Calgary's Current Real Estate Market

Indicators in the market are showing a decreased customer confidence and change in the real estate market.  Overall, we are seeing a trend of lower sales, greater supply, and a lower sale price.  It is important to pay attention to trends but also keep understand the facts with pertaining to the property type and neighbourhood.  

Total sales for February 2015 were down 34% from the year before.  New listings up 8.82% from 2014. Active listings in Feb. 2015 are up 107.27% from the same time 1 year prior.  

We are seeing signs of a buyers market!!  If you've been on the side lines waiting for more inventory to come on the market right now might be your time as there is a large supply.  Coupling that with the low interest rates can make right now an ideal time for home ownership. 

Sellers will have to price homes well and spend more on marketing.  If your planning on listing your house on the market you should be prepared for the number of days on the market to increase because of the supply.

Still, no one knows how the price of oil will stay low but the longer it stays down we will see less confidence in the real estate market.  Migration is expected to decrease.  

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